JUL-SEP 2007 Vol 3 Issue14

Insight                                                    

 

Cabinet Clears Merger of AI and Indian Airlines

by Pankaj Prasun Jha,  Abhinav Kumar Chaturvedi
MBA 3rd Semester
Faculty of Management Studies, Banaras Hindu University

On 1st March 2007, the Govt. of India paved way for the merger of the two state owned carriers - Air India and Indian Airlines. History was quietly created that day. This mega merger, which is the latest shake up in the Indian aviation sector can change the entire dynamics of the Indian skies in the days to come. This decision was long over due. For almost a decade, various governments at the centre have talked of merging the two. Due to various hurdles the decision had not been taken earlier.

What the Merged Entity Will Look Like

Now why is it being called a mega merger? The merged entity will have a combined turn over of over Rs.15000 crores. It will be having the countries largest fleet of air crafts. It will be operating to more destinations than any other airlines in India. The mega carrier will capture more than 50 percent of the aviation market. The three Asian tigers Singapore Airlines, Thai Airlines and Malaysian Airlines will have a fourth tiger to reckon with. On the global scale the merged state carrier will rank amongst the top 30.On 21st Feb., just one day after the GoM decision to merge the two entities, civil aviation minister, Praful Patel said, “The govt. will create a mega carrier with the precision and reliability of Lufthansa and in-flight service of Singapore Airlines.” This audacious statement is backed by numbers and statistics.

Lets See Some Hard Facts:

 

 

 

Air India

 

Indian Airlines

 

Merged entity

 

Share in Industry

 

 

No. of Aircraft

 

 

48

 

74

 

122

 

30 %

 

New Aircraft order

 

 

68

 

43

 

11

 

 

Revenue (Rs. Cr.)

 

 

9677

 

6000

 

15,677

 

53 %

 

Profit (Rs. Cr.)

 

 

16.50

 

49.50

 

66

 

 

Passengers (in mn)

 

 

4.7

 

7

 

11.7

 

26 %

 

Flights (daily)

35

300

335

25.75

More than numbers, the synergy between the two airlines will do the magic as far as cost reduction goes. Let us take an example: Air India and Indian operates over ten flights a day to Singapore with an average load factor of 55% to 60%. Post merger the number could be curtailed to five with an 85% load factor. Currently both AI and Indian operate flights simultaneously to not only Singapore but many common destinations like Kuala Lumpur, Bangkok and the Gulf countries. The flights of the two Airlines take off barely minutes after each other for the same destination. With the rationalization of routes this inefficient practice will come to an end.

Another advantage would be sharing of common infrastructure. There could be sharing of ticketing and booking offices, lounge areas, optimum utilization of hangers, parking bays and slots.

Indian operates most of its flights in day and AI at night. So ones hanger, parking slots etc. can be easily used by the other. Till now what was happening was a fierce and artificial competition between the two airlines, whereas both had compelling reasons to compliment each other.

Now coming to the employee-aircraft ratio. An employee aircraft of 200 is considered good by global standards. Today both Indian and AI exceed this ratio. Post merger and after procurement of new aircrafts the merged entity will have 233 aircrafts which will be taken care off by the same 33000 employees. So the employee to aircraft ratio will come down to 150.

The new entity stands to gain over Rs.1200 crore per year after 3 years of merger. The economies of scale in procurement of materials like fuel, insurance consumable goods and catering will increase profitability in a big way.

Soon after the cabinet approval of merger information and broadcasting minister Das Munshi said “The merger will enable the two airlines to leverage their combined assets and capital better and build a stronger and sustainable business. Aviation experts feel that this mega merger will set the ball rolling for further consolidations in the Indian skies.

Points To Be Taken Care Of

Employee sentiments: Analysts warn that the merger would pose serious challenges  in the months to come especially integrating the 33,000 employees. The employees have certain reservation regarding their job security in the merged entity. Aviation minister has tried his best to assure them that no retrenchments will take place but still the employees feel a bit apprehensive.

Diverse Structure : Moreover, the two carriers have different fleet composition posing challenges for inventory management, maintenance and pilot training. The divergence can be seen through this example – Air India has placed orders for new aircrafts from Boeing, while Indian has done so from Airbus.

Fluid State Of Aviation Sector; Intense Competition : The third point is the fierce competition which aviation sector is witnessing currently. Till 2003, there were only three scheduled domestic carriers namely Jet Airways, Air Sahara and Indian Airlines. But, today the state carriers are embroiled in cut-throat  competition with Air Deccan, Kingfisher, Spice Jet, Go Air, Paramount, Indigo, Indus. Many new airlines like Easy Air, Trans India & Air Dravid are waiting in the wings for government approval. The private players are a force to reckon with. In the last three years, shares of Indian has fallen steeply from 50% to 20%. It is worth mentioning that combined losses by the aviation industries is expected to exceed 0.5 billion dollars in the current fiscal.

What Should Be Done To Allay Fears :  The combined entity could emerge as a potent force only if the merger is treated as a first step and not the last one. The merger needs to be followed through with a thorough overall of operations as suggested by experts.

Kapil Kaul, chief executive South Asia of Centre of Asia Pacific Aviation has recommended a partial sell of equity through an initial public offer to begin with. The industry think-tank Mr. Kaul has suggested privatization of the entity over the next 5 years or so for inducing professionalism.

Merge or Perish: There is a general consensus that this joining of hands has the potential of creating a mega airline which could carry the Indian flag proudly in the global skies. Till it happens, lets keep our fingers crossed. 

Disclaimer : The views expressed in the articles are author’s own views B’Cognizance or IIITA is not liable for any objections arising out of the same. The matter here is solely for academic use only.

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